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Cambridge, MA, May 18, 2006—Pyramid Research estimates there will be 2.6bn mobile subscribers worldwide by year-end 2006, up from 2.3bn in 2005. Between 2006 and 2010, it expects total mobile subscribers to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.7%, topping 3.5bn by year-end 2010. The number of mobile subscribers will top the 3bn mark during late 2007/ early 2008.
“We believe there is considerable upside potential for our forecasts pending the introduction of new business models focusing on low-end users” says Leslie Arathoon, Director of Product Strategy for Pyramid Research.
The latest forecasts indicate that Africa/Middle East will be the fastest growing region with a subscriber CAGR of 13.6% over the next five years. Asia Pacific and Latin America follow closely, posting CAGRs of 10.9% and 9.4% respectively. Western Europe will sustain an average growth of 2.8% per year, while North America is forecasted to post a 6.0% increase.
“Although penetration rates in Western and Eastern Europe have exceeded or neared 100%, thereby signaling limited growth potential from a subscription perspective in these markets, penetration in Africa/Middle East, Latin America and developing Asia Pacific has substantial room for growth,” adds Arathoon.
Pyramid Research has a positive outlook for the growth prospects in the mobile communications market. It expects total mobile revenues to surpass total fixed communications service revenues in 2006 for the first time, with mobile operators generating US$653bn to fixed operators’ $608bn.
About Pyramid Research’s Country-Level Mobile Forecasts
Based on its bottom-up research methodology and time-tested models, the Mobile Demand Forecasts are the most reliable and robust available. Updated quarterly, they provide market projections for the principal drivers in more than 90 countries. They offer a complete picture of the socio-demographic and demand trends affecting each market, helping clients size market opportunities and make informed decisions. Also available are Mobile Data Forecasts for more than 50 countries. View details at www.pyramidresearch.com/fcst.htm.
About Pyramid Research
For twenty years, Pyramid Research has helped companies in the converging communications, media and technology industries stay ahead of market trends, understand competitive threats and capitalize on opportunities. We advise the world’s leading vendors, service providers, equipment manufacturers and the financial community on how to implement best practices, build offensive growth strategies and drive profitability. www.pyramidresearch.com
Press Contact:
Jared Jost
Pyramid Research
jjost@pyr.com
617.494.1515
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