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The Algerian telecom market generated almost $5bn in service revenue in 2008, and we expect it to grow to more than $7.1bn by 2014, a CAGR of 8.6%. Fixed broadband, VoIP and mobile data will be the main drivers of revenue growth over the forecast period, with double-digit growth rates. The mobile and circuit-switched voice segments will remain important due to their weight in the overall Algerian communications market, although their revenue growth will slow to 5% and 0.5% for mobile and fixed voice, respectively.
We believe that increased liberalization of the fixed sector, and the introduction of 3G on the mobile side, would lead to much faster revenue growth, but neither of these regulatory changes appear imminent. Meanwhile, disputes over interconnection tariffs between Algerie Telecom and the largest ISPs continue to cause disruptions in Internet service and to hamper the growth of the broadband sector.
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
Algeria in a Regional Context
Economic, Demographic and Political Context
Regulatory Environment
Demand Profile
Service Evolution
Competitive Landscape
Major Market Players
Segment Analysis
Mobile Services
Fixed Services
Identifying Opportunities
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Publication Date: June 2009
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