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After a period of significant growth in Ecuador’s telecommunications sector between 2007 and 2008, when revenue increased from $1.7bn to $1.9bn at a growth rate of 8.8%, we expect growth to slow in 2009 and beyond as a result of a troubled economic scenario and the slower adoption of mobile services. Between 2009 and 2014, we expect service revenue to increase at a compound annual growth rate of 4.3%, well below the 8.8% experienced in 2008. As in other Latin American countries, we expect the fastest growth rates to take place in the fixed VoIP, broadband and mobile data segments at CAGRs of 55%, 17% and 13%, respectively, over the 2009-2014 period due to higher adoption of these services following the reduction of tariffs. Mobile voice and fixed voice services will grow at a 2% and 0% CAGR, respectively, due to reduction of tariffs and slower penetration of these services. The pay-TV market is expected to expand at a CAGR of 4.9% due to low current penetration and higher competition expected with the entry of telcos with an IPTV solution, such as CNT Andina (formerly Andinatel).
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
Ecuador in a Regional Context
Economic, Demographic and Political Context
Regulatory Environment
Demand Profile
Service Evolution
Competitive Landscape
Major Market Players
Segment Analysis
Mobile Services
Fixed Services
Pay-TV
Convergence
Identifying Opportunities
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Publication Date: May 2009
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