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The Egyptian telecom market generated $6.3bn in service revenue in 2009, having grown at a 21% CAGR over the previous two years. Going forward, we still expect healthy growth — with revenue rising at a 7.9% CAGR from 2009 to 2014 — but Egypt’s peak growth phase has passed.
Mobile voice is the largest single contributor to total revenue, at $4.2bn in 2009, followed by fixed voice, at $1.3bn. Fixed voice penetration reached its peak in 2008 and has been declining gradually ever since. Although there is still room for further growth in mobile voice penetration, the majority of new subscriptions will either be second or third SIM cards for existing users or else first-time subscriptions for users at the very bottom of the income pyramid.
Although fixed VoIP revenue will be the fastest-growing segment of the telecom sector, at a CAGR of 150% from 2011 to 2014, its total share will remain tiny by the end of the forecast period. Mobile data and fixed broadband services will provide the bulk of the sector’s new revenue.
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
Egypt in a Regional Context
Economic, Demographic and Political Context
Regulatory Environment
Demand Profile
Service Evolution
Major Market Players
Segment Analysis
Mobile Services
Fixed Services
Pay-TV
Convergence
Identifying Opportunities
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Author: Dearbhla McHenry
Publication Date: June 2010
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