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We estimate Russia’s telecommunications services market reached $37.2bn in 2008. We expect that it will grow to $48.5bn by 2013, equating to a CAGR of 5.4%, the fastest in the entire Central & Eastern European region. Mobile voice continues to be the largest revenue segment and is expected to remain so for the forecast period. Nevertheless, the growth rate for mobile voice services will trail that of fixed voice, which will continue its revenue growth at a CAGR of 4.9% through 2013. Mobile data’s share of total revenue will grow from 9.2% in 2008 to 13.5% in 2013, reaching $6.5bn in 2013. Another emerging sector is fixed broadband — its share has grown from 2.8% in 2007 to an estimated 4.0% in 2008 and will eventually command 5.8% of total revenue by 2013, amounting to roughly $2.8bn. Fixed VoIP and IPTV will grow at much faster rates over the forecast period, but their effect on total service revenue will be minimal due to the small scale and start-up stages of the market.
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
Russia in a Regional Context
Economic, Demographic and Political Context
Regulatory Environment
Demand Profile
Service Evolution
Competitive Landscape
Major Market Players
Segment Analysis
Mobile Services
Fixed Services
Pay-TV Services
Identifying Opportunities
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Publication Date: February 2009
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