The Russian telecom market generated $43.4bn (Rb1.3trn) in service revenue in 2012, a 6.1% increase year-on-year in local currency terms. The market continues to be one of the most attractive in CEE, with an estimated CAGR of 4.2% over the next five years, to reach $53.2bn (Rb1.6trn) in 2017. Data services will continue to be the main driver for market growth as operators continue to invest in next-generation networks such as FTTB/GPON and LTE. Over the next five years, we expect mobile data to grow at a CAGR of 11.3%, after Rostelecom joined the Big Three (MTS, MegaFon and Beeline) in offering UMTS/HSPA services in December 2012. In addition, all large operators allocated investments for LTE services deployments, with Beeline and Rostelecom scheduled to launch commercially in 2013. We expect voice services to remain a major revenue source over the forecast period, accounting for slightly less than 60% of total telecom service revenue in 2017. Fixed voice revenue will decline over the next five years, primarily as a result of fixed-to-mobile substitution. The introduction of technology neutrality for universal services provision will put even more pressure on traditional telephony services.
Table of Contents
Market and Competitor Overview
Russia in a regional context
Economic, demographic and political context
Major market players
The Russia Intelligence Report is the industry’s best available analysis on market trends, regulatory environments, and competitive dynamics, providing detailed competitive analysis on fixed and mobile sectors, tracking market adoption of new technologies and services such as WiMAX, IPTV, and VoIP.
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