|
Going forward, we expect South Africa’s telecom market revenue to grow at a CAGR of 1.6%, from $13.9bn in 2009 to $15.1bn in 2014. The mobile segment dominates the South African telecom market. We estimate that the mobile segment generated 72% of total market revenue in 2009, propelled by mobile voice and data. We expect mobile voice to continue to generate most of the segment’s revenue, growing from $8.6bn in 2009 to $8.8bn in 2014, a five-year CAGR of 0.7%. However, the bulk of the growth in mobile revenue will be generated by mobile data. Driven by mobile email and mobile broadband Internet services, we anticipate mobile data revenue will grow from $1.4bn in 2009 to $2.2bn in 2014, a CAGR of 9.4%. On the fixed side, while generating the bulk of the revenue, we expect fixed voice revenue to decrease from $2.6bn in 2009 to $2.0bn in 2014, due to substitution from the mobile side. A number of undersea and land-based cable projects will provide much-needed extra capacity for operators to offer IP services at more affordable prices, thus capturing a wider population. As a result, we expect broadband Internet revenue to grow from $369m in 2009 to $740m in 2014, a CAGR of 14.9%.
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
South Africa in a Regional Context
Economic, Demographic and Political Context
Regulatory Environment
Demand Profile
Service Evolution
Competitive Landscape
Major Market Players
Segment Analysis
Mobile Services
Fixed Services
Pay-TV
Convergence
Identifying Opportunities
The South Africa Intelligence Report is available now. To purchase this report, click the Buy button to add this report to your cart or contact us.
Pyramid Research’s premium Country Intelligence Reports are available for 60 countries worldwide. For more information about this report or a list of countries we cover, please contact us via email at info@pyr.com or telephone at (617) 871-1900
Author: Badii Kechiche
Publication Date: April 2010
|