We expect South Africa’s telecom market revenue to slightly fall over the forecast period at a CAGR of -1.6%, from $16.47bn in 2010 to $15.2bn in 2015. This decrease is partially due to a currency fluctuation, with local currency expected to depreciate by a CAGR of 5.35% between 2010 and 2015. The mobile segment once again was the dominant telecom sector in 2010, generating 79% of the total market revenue. However, the saturated penetration rates and increased competition are expected to drive prices down. We are projecting the mobile market to grow at a CAGR of 5% in local currency during the forecast period ending in 2015, while it declines at a CAGR of -0.5% in US dollars. The limited revenue growth on the mobile voice front will be offset with healthy growth in revenues for broadband and mobile data. Leveraging the increased capacity brought about by undersea cables and other infrastructure projects, the mobile data and broadband Internet sector are expected to experience a revenue CAGR of 5.7% and 6.6%, respectively, between 2010 and 2015. The fixed services market was mainly comprised of revenue generated in fixed circuit-switched voice field, with an estimated 72% of total fixed service revenues.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
South Africa in a regional context
Economic, demographic and political context
Regulatory environment
Demand profile
Service evolution
Competitive landscape
Major market players
Segment analysis
Mobile services
Fixed services
Pay-TV
Convergence
Identifying Opportunities
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