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Taiwan’s communications market generated $10.5bn in 2008, a slight contraction of 2.6% in local currency terms. The decline was driven by the economic downturn, price competition among mobile operators and periodic tariff reductions for both mobile and ADSL services imposed by the NCC. Going forward, we expect the market to recover and witness a 1.8% CAGR over the next five years in local currency terms. In US dollar terms, growth will be a slightly better 2.8% CAGR as a result of Taiwan’s currency appreciation relative to the US dollar.
As in other developed markets, we expect the circuit-switched voice market to contract at an average annual rate of 5.2% and the dial-up Internet market to contract at an average annual rate of 10.3% as users opt for less expensive VoIP, mobile voice and broadband options.
Although Pyramid Research expects VoIP and IPTV to experience the fastest growth rates going forward, at CAGRs of 54.8% and 19.5%, respectively, 83% of the market’s revenue gains between 2008 and 2013 will come from broadband and mobile data. In anticipation of this trend, operators have been aggressive in deploying attractive low tariff mobile data card schemes and PC/data card bundles.
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
Taiwan in a Regional Context
Economic, Demographic and Political Context
Regulatory Environment
Demand Profile
Service Evolution
Competitive Landscape
Major Market Players
Segment Analysis
Mobile Services
Fixed Services
Identifying Opportunities
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Publication Date: March 2009
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