As the Turkish economy rebounds from the global recession, we believe that growth will be propelled by strong demand for mobile data services, and the market for VoIP will start to augment total revenue in the fixed sector.
In the voice segment, we expect circuit-switched revenue to decrease at a CAGR of -10% through the forecast period, and traditional voice services will begin to be partially compensated by VoIP. We project that VoIP revenue will grow from an estimated $62m in 2011 to $317m in 2016.
Mobile data will also gain importance, as signaled by the CAGR of 11% expected during the next five years. This growth will be bolstered by increased consumption of 3G and mobile broadband services.
Fixed broadband growth, which will increase by an estimated $800m to reach $3.0bn in 2016, will be limited due to the rapid expansion of mobile broadband usage. We expect robust growth for IPTV services, which will have a CAGR of 78% from 2011-2016. Aided by the satellite operators’ exclusive rights to live football broadcast, the pay-TV segment will grow at a CAGR of 10%.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
Turkey in a regional context
Economic, demographic and political context
Regulatory environment
Demand profile
Service evolution
Competitive landscape
Major market players
Segment analysis
Mobile services
Fixed services
Pay-TV
Identifying Opportunities
The Turkey Intelligence Report is the industry’s best available analysis on market trends, regulatory environments, and competitive dynamics, providing detailed competitive analysis on fixed and mobile sectors, tracking market adoption of new technologies and services such as WiMAX, IPTV, and VoIP.
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