UAE Intelligence Report
UAE: Telecom Duopoly Stifles Competition in One of the Richest Markets

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UAE’s total market revenue amounted to $6.4bn in 2010. This translates into a yearly average revenue per capita of around $950. In 2011, we are projecting the county’s total telecom revenue to grow by 4.2%, translating into a yearly average revenue per capita of more than $1,000. The country’s high standard of living, thanks to a GDP per capita of $40,020, gives the operators better opportunities in leveraging their networks to offer lucrative services, with limited pressure on prices. Moreover, the high standard of living in absolute terms allowed the market to catch up with those of the developed world in terms of service penetration. Thus, we believe the market can look forward to healthy growth between 2010 and 2015, during which we expect total revenue to increase at a CAGR of 3.3%. Significant growth segments will be broadband Internet and mobile data, although mobile voice will remain the single largest contributor to total revenue. Fixed VoIP is in its infancy stage, being provided through FTTx, which explains the high projected CAGR of the service. A key change over the next five years is the switch from copper to fiber fixed-line infrastructure that is currently underway and due to be completed by 2012. As well as providing a boost to broadband revenue, the change will enable significant growth in the pay-TV and fixed VoIP sectors for the first time.

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Author: Hussam Barhoush

Publication Date: June 2011