We expect the Ukrainian telecom market to generate UAH39.2bn (US$5.0bn) in service revenue in 2011, a 4.8% increase over 2010 value. The market will grow at a CAGR of 3.7% in local currency terms over the 2011-2016 period, reaching UAH47.0bn ($6.3bn), and generating a cumulative revenue of UAH258bn ($34.0bn) at the same time. The main drivers of this growth will be fixed broadband (13.1% CAGR), mobile data (12.7% CAGR) and pay-TV (8.2% CAGR).
Fixed broadband growth will be propelled by Ukrtelecom’s infrastructure modernization commitments, together with the planned disposal of its mobile arm, which will result in a greater focus on fixed services provision. We foresee the growing importance of alternative operators in the market, such as Kyivstar, who continues to implement an aggressive fiber rollout plan, bringing affordable services to a greater number of households in Ukraine.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
Ukraine in a regional context
Economic, demographic and political context
Regulatory environment
Demand profile
Service evolution
Competitive landscape
Major market players
Segment analysis
Mobile services
Fixed services
Pay-TV
Identifying Opportunities
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