The US telecom market generated $367bn in service revenue in 2010, an increase of 3.1% over 2009. Burgeoning growth in mobile broadband, the relatively inelastic nature of demand for pay-TV and continued growth in fixed broadband will offset the ever-shrinking fixed circuit-switched market. We expect the market to grow at a 3.1% CAGR over 2011-2016, reaching $443bn in 2016. Mobile data will be the largest contributor to growth over the next five years. While it was the fourth-largest service segment in 2010 (after mobile voice, fixed voice and pay-TV), our projected 12.7% CAGR over the 2011-2016 period means that it will overtake all three services to become the single largest revenue stream in the US telecom industry by 2016. The growth will be driven by continued smartphone adoption as well as growth in the M2M market. Mobile networks, currently operating at 80% capacity, will be augmented with LTE in order to meet demand. As demand for fixed circuit-switched voice decreases, fixed VoIP will increase, growing at a 12.2% CAGR from 2011 to 2016. Because VoIP is often bundled with other services, often at little additional cost when purchased with Internet or pay-TV, customer incentive to switch to VoIP is high.
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Market and Competitor Overview
United States in a regional context
Economic, demographic and political context
Regulatory environment
Demand profile
Service evolution
Competitive landscape
Major market players
Segment analysis
Mobile services
Fixed services
Pay-TV
Convergence
Identifying Opportunities
The United States Intelligence Report is the industry’s best available analysis on market trends, regulatory environments, and competitive dynamics, providing detailed competitive analysis on fixed and mobile sectors, tracking market adoption of new technologies and services such as WiMAX, IPTV, and VoIP.
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