The 12 new cables to be launched between 2009 and 2011 will increase Africa’s total international bandwidth from about 6Tbps to as much as 34Tbps and will reduce the number of coastal countries without any cable access from 19 to one.
We forecast that total broadband adoption in Africa will increase at a CAGR of 28% from 2009 to 2013, as increased competition in the international bandwidth market brings down prices and as the new cables support the corresponding increase in demand.
Former monopolists will have to compensate for lower wholesale revenue by expanding their subscriber bases among both ISPs and end users, while new entrants will seek to gain market share without straying into dangerous hypercompetition.
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